Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Monday, December 12, 2011
Gold #GLD @ 150 day MA - trendline
Gold is at 150 moving average. GLD has found support at the 150 day moving average since 7/28/2010. A break below 150 day moving average could signal a change in trend.
Calculated Risk: European Bond Yields rising
Calculated Risk: European Bond Yields rising: Another summit. More disappointment ... The Italian 2 year yield is up to 6.14%, and the 10 year yield is up to 6.72%. Both were below...
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Update: Europe short term fixes - Market rallies
Europe continues discussing short term fixes for its debt problems. The fact is that none of these fixes solve the underlying problem of to much debt and slow growth. Sooner or later, Europe will have to deleverage; and deflation will take place.
This week, the stock markets continued to rally. I am looking at a peak in the next three weeks - at the latest first week of January. The probable S&P500 target is between 1,300 and 1340. After this rally, There is the likelyhood of a substantial stock correction in the first half of 2012 and an economic slowdown.
Gold consolidating. It is too early to tell whether the up trend will continue or reverse.
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Post Euro Currency Values
The FT/Alphaville blog posted an interesting article estimating the post Euro currency values. ft.com/alphaville Post-euro currencies, charted
Friday, December 2, 2011
12/2/2011 Update; Market rebound
The market is rallying from the short term oversold levels. News about European dept continue driving short term sentiment. S&P500 is touching its 150 day moving average. If the S&P500 crosses and holds above the 150 day moving average, it can be a bullish sign - at least in the short term. However, stocks remain highly risky and volatile in the short term.
We are in the experiencing the last wave of a Minor 2 wave. The target levels for this rally are between 1280 - 1310. See DanericsEllitotWaves. From there, we should see the first wave of Minor 3.
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